Risk Analytics

Pressure-test your edge before you build it.

Run your numbers through the same statistical lens before committing resources to a full build. All calculations run locally in your browser, and results are estimates under simplified assumptions, not predictions.

Tool 01

Monte Carlo Simulator

Randomizes your trade outcomes across thousands of alternative equity paths to show the realistic range of results, not just the single path a backtest happened to produce.

Tool 02

Risk of Ruin Calculator

The estimated probability your account draws down to your "ruin" level before your edge plays out, computed over 20,000 simulated trade sequences.

Estimated Probability of Ruin

Enter your stats and calculate.

Expectancy / Trade
Breakeven Win Rate
Edge vs Breakeven
Median Max DD

Assumes fixed-fractional sizing (risk recalculated on current balance each trade), independent outcomes, and constant win rate / R. Real markets exhibit streaks and regime change; treat these figures as estimates, not assurances. No outcome is guaranteed.

Tool 03

Position Size Calculator

Works out the position size that keeps a single trade's risk at a fixed percentage of your account, given your stop distance.

Most USD-quoted majors (EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD) run ~$10/pip per standard lot (100,000 units). JPY pairs, crosses, gold and indices differ, so check your broker's contract specs before using a value other than the default.

Risk Amount
Position Size (Std Lots)
Position Size (Mini Lots)
Position Size (Units)

Educational calculation only, based on the figures you enter, not a recommendation to trade any product or size any position. Verify your broker's exact contract size and pip value before applying this to a live account.

This analysis ships with every build.

Every algorithm we deliver includes a full Monte Carlo and risk report as part of the validation stage.

Algorithm development